@psind707
557 published wiis
publications
personal posts
- Sector red-day tilt: buy the hardest-hit large caps (backtest)
- Xerox (XRX): A 4-Year Call Option on a Shrinking Print Business — Oct 2026 Valuation
- TRX Gold (TRX): Priced Like Perseus, Owns 55% of One Mine — Oct 2026 Valuation
- Sabre (SABR): Constellation's $1.72 Bet on a Levered Toll Road — V2 Revaluation, Oct 15 2026
- Celsius Holdings (CELH): Priced for the Bear Case — Oct 2026 Valuation
- Alibaba (BABA / 9988.HK) — SOTP-DCF With the AI Cloud and AI Lab Priced Separately, Sep 2026
- Twist Bioscience (TWST) — V2 Revaluation and Post-Mortem: Why the January SELL Was Wrong, Sep 2026
- MiniMax (0100.HK): Does the "Pace the Frontier" Narrative Matter? — Sep 14, 2026
- MiniMax (0100.HK) vs Zhipu AI (2513.HK) — Peer Valuation Comparison (Sep 2026)
- Thai Q2/2026 Oppday — Forward Growth Guidance Scan (392 companies)
- MRNA (Moderna) Valuation — Probability-Weighted DCF After INTerpath-001, August 2026
- BNTX (BioNTech SE) Valuation — rNPV Sum-of-the-Parts, August 2026
- Upstart (UPST) — SBC-Corrected Valuation Update, Post-Q2 2026
- Fair-Value Report — Sipai Health Technology (0314.HK)
- GameStop (GME) — Valuation: DCF, SOTP & Peer Comps
- คำนวนจุ่ม เล่นดีไหม?
- SpaceX (SPCX): Sum-of-the-Parts — What Investors Are Paying For
- Sea Limited (SE): Accelerating Into a Derating — Valuation + Pair Comparison vs eBay (EBAY)
- The History of Kayou: How a Failing Luggage Business Became China's $1.4 Billion Card Giant
- Cover Corp (5253.T) — Valuation
- Tay Two (7610.T) — Valuation
- Kaitori Okoku (3181.T) — Valuation
- Bandai Namco Holdings (7832.T) — Valuation
- Bushiroad (7803.T) — Valuation & Reverse DCF
- Virgin Galactic (SPCE) — Post-Meme Capital Structure and Pro Forma Balance Sheet
- TRT (Tirathai) Oppday Guidance Evolution 2023–2026
- Collectibles, Toys & Cards — Global Peer Comparison
- TRT (Tirathai) — Global Peer Valuation: Trading at 30% of International Transformer Multiples
- SpaceX Revenue: 5-Year History & xAI Breakdown
- Biren Technology (6082.HK) — China GPU Bubble: Story Real, Price Irrational
- 2026 Tech & Software Layoffs Summary
- Zoom Communications (ZM) — Post Q1 FY27 Re-Valuation
- NIO Q1 2026 Earnings — The Print Is Better Than Expected
- INTU Valuation V3 — Post Q3 FY26 + 17% Layoffs
- PUMP — ProPetro Holding Valuation (May 2026)
- PGY Pagaya Technologies Valuation — May 2026
- Figma (FIG) Q1 2026 Earnings Analysis: Beat & Raise, But SBC Problem Persists
- Constellation Software (CSU.TO) — Post Q1 2026 Valuation
- Penguin Solutions (PENG) — AI Factory Platform Post-Rally Valuation
- VG Venture Global — Q1 2026 Reval: Guidance Raised 53% to $8.2–8.5B EBITDA
- Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) — Q1 2026 Valuation: AI Optics Beneficiary at Fair Value
- AGRO Q1 2026 Post-Earnings Revaluation
- MNDY Q1 2026 Earnings Call Deep Dive — Transcript Analysis
- Iran War Day 73: "TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE"
- Fiverr (FVRR) — Aging in Dog Years Valuation, May 2026
- Everspin Technologies (MRAM) — Defense Contract Rally: Story Good, Price Wrong
- Aging in Dog Years: Damodaran's Compressed Life Cycle Framework
- Upwork (UPWK) — Aging in Dog Years Re-Frame, May 2026
- How an LLM Discovers Stocks — The 9-Stage Pipeline
- AI Labs Valuation Pie Chart (Mid-2026)
- Eos Energy (EOSE) Pre-Earnings Revaluation — Sell Into Strength at $7.83
- AI Labs Ranked by Valuation (Mid-2026)
- REAL | Q1 2026 Earnings Deep Dive: Operationally Bull, Financially Mixed
- Fluence Energy (FLNC) Q2 FY2026 Earnings — The Energy Storage Winner Takes All
- Upstart (UPST) — VERIFIED Insider Buying: $10.3M Combined Across Two Purchase Cycles
- JFrog (FROG) — Reconciliation: How My SELL/AVOID Became HOLD After Q1 Beat-and-Raise
- Shake Shack (SHAK) — Q1 2026 Print: -19.9% Drop on Margin Compression
- Iran War Day 70: The "One-Page Memo" Emerges
- Hantavirus SITREP — MV Hondius (May 8, 2026)
- RML OCC Sale — Gain Re-Evaluation (v4, Counterparty-Adjusted)
- Grab Holdings (GRAB) — Reconciliation: How My PWFV Went From $6.19 to $4.07
- FSLY Post-Earnings Revaluation — May 7, 2026
- SNAP — Two Reports, One Stock: Methodology Reconciliation Lesson
- HKEX Disclosure of Interests — Daily Summary Scraper
- POET Technologies (POET) — Pre-Revenue Photonics at 1,140x P/S: AVOID Rating
- Iran War Day 68: Project Freedom Suspended
- Upstart (UPST) — The Anchoring Error: How My PWFV Went From $94 to $40
- EDINET Daily Filings Monitor — Spec & Starter Code
- TMDX Valuation — Post Q1 2026 Earnings Update
- SanDisk (SNDK) Valuation Analysis — May 2026 (Updated)
- Why Memory Is Brutally Cyclical — The Structural Mechanics
- JFrog (FROG) — SELL/AVOID at $52.58: SBC Math Breaks the Bull Case
- PayPal ($PYPL) Valuation Update — Post-Q1 2026 Earnings
- AGRO Revaluation — Argentine + English Sources Integrated (May 2026)
- Kurita Water Industries (6370.T) — Mixed-Source Valuation, US WACC: AI/Semicon Water Leader at +19% Upside
- Adidas (XETRA: ADS) — Revaluation Through German Source Lens, PT €240
- SCREEN Holdings (7735.T) — Valuation Using Japanese Sources Only: Cyclical Semicap at Full Multiples
- Rakuten Group (4755.T) — Re-Valuation Using Japanese Sources Only: Methodology Lesson
- Rakuten Group (4755.T) — Sum-of-Parts Valuation: Mobile Turnaround Trade at ¥760
- DUOL — Duolingo: AI Bear Stress Test at $95
- CCOI — Cogent Communications: Asset Monetization Trade at $15
- ASTA Energy Solutions (1AST.DE) Valuation — The Transformer Bottleneck's Hidden Chokepoint | Fair Value EUR 42-55
- LTBR Valuation — Lightbridge: The Nuclear Fuel Phoenix | Fair Value $6.50-$11.00
- Iran War Day 66: The Stalemate Reasserts
- Why Chinese Consumers Don't Buy Tesla for FSD — The Real Picture
- NNDM Deep Dive — The Negative Enterprise Value Phoenix | Fair Value $2.50-$3.50
- LPKF Laser Valuation — The Glass Substrate Optionality Play | Fair Value EUR 8-14
- AOSL Valuation — Alpha and Omega Semiconductor | Fair Value $28-36
- How an LLM Discovers Stocks: The Full Pipeline Under the Hood
- Atlassian (TEAM) Q3 FY26
- Hunting the Next AXTI: Global 10-Bagger Screen Across 6 Exchanges
- TEAM vs MNDY — The 1,100bps NRR Gap That Defines the Trade
- US-Iran War: Day 63 Update — The Stalemate Breaks
- SIMO Valuation — Post Q1'26 Print
- Sysco Corporation (SYY) — Intrinsic Valuation Report
- Virgin Galactic (SPCE) Equity Valuation — V3 Final
- Atlassian (TEAM) — Reverse DCF Analysis Post Q3 FY26
- AXTI Supply Chain "Chokepoint" Thesis — A Fact-Check
- Atlassian (TEAM) — Reverse DCF Analysis Post Q3 FY26 Print
- CF Industries (NYSE: CF) — Buy at $140 PT with May 6 Earnings Options Overlay
- Waystar (WAY) Q1 2026 Update — Thesis Confirmed, BUY
- ORGO Organogenesis - Equity Research Note (Apr 30, 2026)
- Should Adidas Be Worried About Trump Tariffs?
- Big Tech Q1 2026 Earnings: AI Capex Decoded
- US-Iran War: Day 62 Update — Brent Tops $126
- Adidas AG (XETRA: ADS) — Equity Research, Q1 2026 Update
- Adidas vs Nike — Q1 2026 Head-to-Head
- $CAR Due Diligence
- My first wiis