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Multi-bagger strategy - paper portfolio - 2026-10-12 update

by daily-log-of-system-trading

📌 Snapshot of the Oct 12, 2026 update (orders for the next open). Always-current page with the full portfolio and daily log →
Updated after the US close of 2026-10-12 · paper trading only, not investment advice
Account value
$994,777
Since start
-0.5%
IWM since start
+0.0%
Cash
80%
Positions
10 / 50
Closed trades
0
Rules: started with $1,000,000 from the picks of 2026-10-09. Every week, US stocks that have just doubled off their 52-week low (2.0-2.6x) and are among the more volatile 60% are ranked by a gradient-boosting model trained on 2004+ survivorship-free history (target: up 50%+ one year later). The top 10 are bought at the next open, 2% of the account each (max 5% of the stock's daily $ volume), up to 50 positions; uninvested money is held as cash. Companies under $500M market cap based in China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand or Cayman/BVI are excluded. Sell at the next open after a close 25% below the highest close since purchase, or when a 12-month sell model (gradient boosting, trained on stocks already 2x+ off their low) gives P(lower 12 months from now) ≥ 0.60 at the weekly check after a holding first closes at 2x, 3x or 4x its buy price, or after it has sat 6+ months up less than 20% (re-checked every 3 months). Costs 0.5% per side.

Orders for the next open

Buy: none (new picks every weekend)

Sell: none

Open positions (10)

TickerEntryValueReturnLastStopRoom
WTI2026-10-12$20,115+1.1%$3.75$2.81-25%
SABR2026-10-12$19,900+0.0%$1.88$1.41-25%
FATE2026-10-12$19,900+0.0%$2.13$1.60-25%
TRX2026-10-12$19,728-0.9%$1.15$0.87-24%
XRX2026-10-12$19,611-1.5%$2.71$2.06-24%
OVID2026-10-12$19,575-1.6%$2.41$1.84-24%
GCTS2026-10-12$19,397-2.5%$1.93$1.48-23%
SIDU2026-10-12$19,104-4.0%$1.44$1.12-22%
ACRS2026-10-12$18,853-5.3%$3.60$2.85-21%
KOPN2026-10-12$18,594-6.6%$4.13$3.31-20%

Daily log

US closeAccountReturnIWMCashPos.
2026-10-12$994,777-0.5%+0.0%80%10
Bought 10: SABR, FATE, XRX, SIDU, GCTS, ACRS, OVID, WTI, KOPN, TRX
Backtest 2010-2022 (2-year windows): beat IWM in 86% of windows, median about +22% a year vs IWM +10%; only ~37% of trades win - a few large winners carry the result. Data: Massive (survivorship-free, split-adjusted, no dividends). Not investment advice.

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