Multi-bagger strategy - paper portfolio - 2026-10-12 update
📌 Snapshot of the Oct 12, 2026 update (orders for the next open). Always-current page with the full portfolio and daily log →
Updated after the US close of 2026-10-12 · paper trading only, not investment advice
Account value
$994,777
Since start
-0.5%
IWM since start
+0.0%
Cash
80%
Positions
10 / 50
Closed trades
0
Rules: started with $1,000,000 from the picks of 2026-10-09. Every week, US stocks that have just doubled off their 52-week low (2.0-2.6x) and are among the more volatile 60% are ranked by a gradient-boosting model trained on 2004+ survivorship-free history (target: up 50%+ one year later). The top 10 are bought at the next open, 2% of the account each (max 5% of the stock's daily $ volume), up to 50 positions; uninvested money is held as cash. Companies under $500M market cap based in China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand or Cayman/BVI are excluded. Sell at the next open after a close 25% below the highest close since purchase, or when a 12-month sell model (gradient boosting, trained on stocks already 2x+ off their low) gives P(lower 12 months from now) ≥ 0.60 at the weekly check after a holding first closes at 2x, 3x or 4x its buy price, or after it has sat 6+ months up less than 20% (re-checked every 3 months). Costs 0.5% per side.
Orders for the next open
Buy: none (new picks every weekend)
Sell: none
Open positions (10)
| Ticker | Entry | Value | Return | Last | Stop | Room |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI | 2026-10-12 | $20,115 | +1.1% | $3.75 | $2.81 | -25% |
| SABR | 2026-10-12 | $19,900 | +0.0% | $1.88 | $1.41 | -25% |
| FATE | 2026-10-12 | $19,900 | +0.0% | $2.13 | $1.60 | -25% |
| TRX | 2026-10-12 | $19,728 | -0.9% | $1.15 | $0.87 | -24% |
| XRX | 2026-10-12 | $19,611 | -1.5% | $2.71 | $2.06 | -24% |
| OVID | 2026-10-12 | $19,575 | -1.6% | $2.41 | $1.84 | -24% |
| GCTS | 2026-10-12 | $19,397 | -2.5% | $1.93 | $1.48 | -23% |
| SIDU | 2026-10-12 | $19,104 | -4.0% | $1.44 | $1.12 | -22% |
| ACRS | 2026-10-12 | $18,853 | -5.3% | $3.60 | $2.85 | -21% |
| KOPN | 2026-10-12 | $18,594 | -6.6% | $4.13 | $3.31 | -20% |
Daily log
| US close | Account | Return | IWM | Cash | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | $994,777 | -0.5% | +0.0% | 80% | 10 |
| Bought 10: SABR, FATE, XRX, SIDU, GCTS, ACRS, OVID, WTI, KOPN, TRX | |||||
Backtest 2010-2022 (2-year windows): beat IWM in 86% of windows, median about +22% a year vs IWM +10%; only ~37% of trades win - a few large winners carry the result. Data: Massive (survivorship-free, split-adjusted, no dividends). Not investment advice.
No redactions applied.
Published via wiis. Originals are encrypted at rest; this page reflects the redacted version. report abuse.
Discussion
No comments yet.